Unfortunately, we were narrowly denied a nice place with our
NAP Ike Sport last weekend. There’s three days of live racing on ITV this
weekend starting with the opening day of the Windsor Million meeting tomorrow
(as well as All Weather Champs Trials at Newcastle). I’ll be covering the live ITV Saturday and Sunday cards for TXMarkets but I do like one horse at tasty odds
that might be worth backing e/w at Newcastle tomorrow.
Linda Perratt is a trainer that I’ve followed for a long
time. When I started focusing on finding big priced e/w bets she was one of the
first trainers that came to my attention but she usually plies her trade at a much
lower level than this.
Stable Star
She runs her stable star here, The Caltonian, and I think
this horse is hugely overpriced at odds of 28/1. By Swiss Spirit, this 7yo was
beaten just over 4l in this race last year, but he was running off a mark of
93. He is back to try again off 88, and the last time he ran off that mark over
C&D, he won (Kieran O’Neill was on board that day too).
The Caltonian’s last two runs, both at this venue, have
suggested his turn is near. He was beaten just 2l when not getting a clear run
over C&D in November. He was 0.5l behind Heavenly Heather that day, conceding
11lbs. He gets 1lb from that rival here and yet he is 28s and Heavenly Heather
is 14s.
The Caltonian finished sixth over 5f here last time, running
on well late in the day. The step back up to 6f is a big plus, he’ll surely be
trying his best and if he settles early and gets the gaps in the final furlong, The Caltonian can run into the money here at odds of 28/1.
2026 Newcastle Friday Tip: The Caltonian e/w @ 28/1 (4
places) NAP
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